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GDP outlook cut as Thailand sets 3.78tn baht budget, debt nears ceiling
GDP outlook cut as Thailand sets 3.78tn baht budget, debt nears ceiling
THURSDAY, APRIL 23, 2026
Thailand trims GDP forecasts amid Middle East tensions as FY2027 budget is set at 3.788 trillion baht, with public debt projected near the 70% ceilingKKP cuts GDP forecast, warns Thailand faces recession risk
KKP cuts GDP forecast, warns Thailand faces recession risk
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2026
KKP Research says Thailand is vulnerable to a four-way hit from an oil shock, with tourism, exports, household spending and public debt all under pressure.World Bank cuts Thailand growth to 1.3%, flags energy vulnerability in region
World Bank cuts Thailand growth to 1.3%, flags energy vulnerability in region
THURSDAY, APRIL 09, 2026
World Bank lowers Thailand GDP forecast to 1.3% as energy crisis risks hit ASEAN, warning of inflation, wage pressure and long-term economic impactsAMRO forecasts Vietnam to lead growth in ASEAN+3 in 2026
AMRO forecasts Vietnam to lead growth in ASEAN+3 in 2026
THURSDAY, JANUARY 22, 2026
The ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) forecasts Vietnam’s GDP growth in 2026 at 7.6 %, the highest among ASEAN+3 economies, in its quarterly update of the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook (AREO) released on Wednesday (January 21).Thailand's Economy Faces Worst Growth in 30 Years Amid Structural Weaknesses and Global Uncertainty
Thailand's Economy Faces Worst Growth in 30 Years Amid Structural Weaknesses and Global Uncertainty
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 07, 2026
Private sector warns of sub-2% expansion as strong baht, export decline and political transition compound longstanding economic vulnerabilitiesThailand faces below-potential growth in 2026–2027, MPC minutes show
Thailand faces below-potential growth in 2026–2027, MPC minutes show
MONDAY, JANUARY 05, 2026
BOT MPC cuts policy rate to 1.25% and warns of a sharper slowdown, baht strength, weak demand and below-potential growth into 2026–2027.NESDC to revise 2025 GDP forecast after US confirms 19% tariff on Thai exports
NESDC to revise 2025 GDP forecast after US confirms 19% tariff on Thai exports
SUNDAY, AUGUST 17, 2025
NESDC may raise Thailand’s 2025 GDP forecast from the current 1.3–2.3% range, with the midpoint likely to reach 2%, backed by 15% export growth in H1 and clarity on US tariffs.JSCCIB: 36% Trump tariff could shrink Thai exports by 2%, GDP to 0.7%
JSCCIB: 36% Trump tariff could shrink Thai exports by 2%, GDP to 0.7%
WEDNESDAY, MAY 07, 2025
JSCCIB cuts Thailand’s 2025 GDP forecast to 2.0–2.2% amid trade war risks, warns that if the US imposes a 36% tariff on Thai imports, exports could shrink by 2% and GDP growth may slow to just 0.7–1.4%. The committee urges the government to lower domestic business costs, mitigate the impact of the strong baht, and expedite negotiations with the US to ensure tariff competitiveness with regional rivals.World Bank’s slashing of Thailand GDP forecast to 1.6% is premature: Finance Ministry
World Bank’s slashing of Thailand GDP forecast to 1.6% is premature: Finance Ministry
TUESDAY, APRIL 29, 2025
Deputy Finance Minister Julapun Amornvivat on Tuesday addressed the World Bank’s recent decision to slash Thailand’s 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.6%, calling the downgrade premature.